Geopolitical Alpha: An Investment Framework for Predicting the Future offers a fresh perspective on navigating the complex landscape of global politics to inform investment strategies. Authored by Marko Papic, an investment strategist and geopolitical analyst, this book presents a unique framework for understanding and forecasting geopolitical risks that can significantly impact markets.

The book emphasizes the importance of focusing on measurable constraints rather than media narratives or “smoke-filled room” insights when analyzing policy decisions. Papic argues that these constraints ultimately dictate outcomes, making them crucial for investors seeking to predict future events accurately. Through a series of compelling examples from the past decade, he illustrates how his constraint-based approach can be applied to identify Geopolitical Alpha—investment opportunities arising from geopolitical changes.

Key topics covered include:

• The paradigm shifts that will shape investment returns over the next decade
• The necessity for investment and corporate professionals to consider geopolitics as an integral part of their decision-making process
• Tips on ignoring media hype and focusing on underlying factors driving market narratives

By providing a clear and insightful roadmap, Geopolitical Alpha equips readers with the tools needed to forecast geopolitical developments that can influence investment outcomes. Whether you’re an investor, analyst, or simply curious about the intersection of geopolitics and finance, this book offers valuable insights into navigating the future.

Published by Wiley in December 2025, Geopolitical Alpha spans 304 pages and is designed to be a comprehensive guide for anyone looking to enhance their investment strategies through a deeper understanding of geopolitical dynamics. With its practical approach and wealth of real-world examples, this book is an essential read for those seeking to gain a competitive edge in the global market.

ISBN-10: 1394377924

ISBN-13: 978-1394377923